
558 
FNUS54 KMRX 091835
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE OUT TO THE NORTHEAST 
ALLOWING MOISTURE TO FILTER IN FROM THE SOUTH AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...BRINGING INCREASED MID AND HIGH CLOUD COVER 
OVER THE AREA. CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM MOVE UP THE 
ATLANTIC COAST.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   72-77 (-1)   50-55        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   30-35 (0)    84-89        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         E  7 G15     NE  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     E 32         
DISPERSION                         137 VERY GOOD             79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   68-73 (-2)   49-54        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+14)  32-37 (+1)   86-91        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6                      E 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        E  7         E 11 G23     E 10 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 30                     E 29         
DISPERSION                         126 VERY GOOD             59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-101945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   64-69 (-2)   49-54        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+18)  39-44 (0)    89-94        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  7 G15                  NE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        E  6         E  7 G18     E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 17                     E 16         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-101945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   67-72 (-3)   51-56        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+11)  40-45 (+2)   81-86        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      NE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 17                      E 13         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-101945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+8)   66-71 (-4)   51-56        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   40-45 (+2)   83-88        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      NE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        E  6         E  5 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.11         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 22                      E 17         
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   72-77 (-2)   51-56        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+9)   34-39 (+2)   86-91        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         E  6 G15     NE  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 25                     E 25         
DISPERSION                         125 VERY GOOD             61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   71-76 (+1)   52-57        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+8)   37-42 (-3)   83-88        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5 G15     NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 16                      E 20         
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
235 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011 /135 PM CDT SUN OCT 9 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   71-76 (-1)   53-58        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    39-44 (-1)   83-88        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 13                      E 13         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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