
452 
FNUS54 KMRX 091414 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE 
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH 
SUNDAY...PRODUCING DRY WEATHER AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. DAYTIME 
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL STAY SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY 
OCTOBER. CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MIDDLE 
OF THE WEEK AS COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVE INTO THE REGION. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101515-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   50-55 (+6)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   85-90 (+15)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        E  5         E  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     SE 21        
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101515-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    46-51 (+2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+10)  90-95 (+23)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     E  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8        SE  8 G18    E  9         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 18                     E 24         
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-101515-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   48-53 (+3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+11)  91-96 (+24)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G21    E  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     SE 21        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-101515-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   50-55 (+6)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  89-94 (+11)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  7 G19     E  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     E 18         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-101515-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   49-54 (+8)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+12)  90-95 (+7)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  8 G20     E  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 18                      E 21         
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   83 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   48-53 (+5)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+10)  92-97 (+17)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        E  5         E  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     E 22         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   52-57 (+6)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+9)   88-93 (+10)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     E 17         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101515-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1014 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2011 /914 AM CDT SUN OCT 9 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   53-58 (+7)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   89-94 (+3)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         NE  5        E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     E 15         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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