
611 
FNUS54 KMRX 081837
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE 
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH 
SUNDAY...PRODUCING DRY WEATHER AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. DAYTIME 
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL STAY SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY 
OCTOBER. CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MIDDLE 
OF THE WEEK AS COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVE INTO THE REGION. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   71-76 (-4)   50-55        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-5)   29-34 (+7)   85-90        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SE 17        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   68-73 (-4)   46-51        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (0)    35-40 (+11)  89-94        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  8 G23    SE 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SE 22        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-091945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    66-71 (-3)   48-53        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+2)   35-40 (+9)   89-94        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G24    E  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SE 13        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-091945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    70-75 (-3)   50-55        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   35-40 (+9)   88-93        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G21    E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 16                     E 14         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-091945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    70-75 (-3)   49-54        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   34-39 (+9)   89-94        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G21    E  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     E 20         
DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   81 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   72-77 (-5)   48-53        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   31-36 (+9)   92-97        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         E  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SE 17        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    71-76 (-4)   52-57        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   33-38 (+6)   88-93        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     E 10         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
237 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011 /137 PM CDT SAT OCT 8 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   72-77 (-3)   53-58        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   36-41 (+8)   88-93        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         NE  5        E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     E 13         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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