
307 
FNUS54 KMRX 071834
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011


...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE 
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND...PRODUCING DRY WEATHER WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. 
DAYTIME MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY OCTOBER 
AND NIGHTTIME MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   75-80 (-2)   45-50        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   24-29 (-10)  71-76        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               6                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SE 15        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   72-77 (-1)   40-45        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-7)   23-28 (-13)  81-86        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  7 G15    SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               6                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     SE 20        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-081945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   69-74 (-2)   38-43        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   25-30 (-15)  86-91        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      SE 12        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-081945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   73-78 (-1)   39-44        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   24-29 (-15)  85-90        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               6                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE 14        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-081945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   73-78 (-2)   38-43        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  23-28 (-15)  90-95        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        E  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 13                      SE 17        
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   76-81 (-2)   42-47        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   23-28 (-12)  82-87        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      SE 13        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   76-81 (-1)   44-49        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  27-32 (-14)  81-86        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SE  8        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
234 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2011 /134 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   76-81 (0)    45-50        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   26-31 (-14)  84-89        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE 12        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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