
485 
FNUS54 KMRX 051847
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE WEEK...PRODUCING DRY 
WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND...DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 
SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY OCTOBER INTO THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   75-80 (0)    45-50        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 28-33 (+2)   87-92        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     NE  7        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   72-77 (0)    45-50        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+8)   29-34 (0)    80-85        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      NE  6        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   72-77 (0)    45-50        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   29-34 (-4)   78-83        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     NE  8        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   76-81 (-1)   44-49        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 27-32 (-5)   89-94        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      NE  6        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   77-82 (-1)   42-47        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 26-31 (-6)   90-95        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      E  7         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    77-82 (+1)   43-48        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 27-32 (-3)   89-94        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      NE  7        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   77-82 (+1)   47-52        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+12)  30-35 (-2)   88-93        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     NE  7        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
247 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2011 /147 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   79-84 (+1)   49-54        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 29-34 (-2)   92-97        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     E  8         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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