
398 
FNUS54 KMRX 050658
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE WEEK PRODUCING DRY WEATHER WITH 
A WARMING TREND. IN FACT...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES 
ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY OCTOBER IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 
80S...AND THIS WARMTH WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+9)   43-48 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-9)   81-86 (-2)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      NE  3        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+8)   44-49 (+4)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  82-87 (0)    28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     E  3         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-060800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+7)   44-49 (+3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-13)  87-92 (+2)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     E  3         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-060800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   43-48 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   95-100 (+13) 29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      SE  3        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-060800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   41-46 (-1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   95-100 (+13) 27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      E  5         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   42-47 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-6)   91-96 (+8)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     E  3         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   46-51 (+2)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-5)   89-94 (+6)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      E  5         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
258 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2011 /158 AM CDT WED OCT 5 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   47-52 (+2)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-7)   93-98 (+9)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     SE  3        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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