
606 
FNUS54 KMRX 011920
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN  
REGION THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND FIFTEEN 
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP BY THE FIRST 
OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL FOR MOST 
OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   51-56 (+5)   34-39        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   42-47 (-16)  88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW 10 G18    NW  7 G15    NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-5)   50-55 (+5)   34-39        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  41-46 (-16)  87-92        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G25                 NW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    NW 13 G22    NW 10 G19    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-022015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-4)   52-57 (+4)   32-37        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+12)  37-42 (-13)  90-95        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G22                 NW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G18     NW 12 G22    NW  8 G18    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-022015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   57-62 (0)    35-40        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+9)   32-37 (-6)   84-89        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G20                  NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NW 10 G20    N  7 G15     N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N 18         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-022015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   56-61 (-1)   33-38        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   34-39 (-3)   87-92        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  NW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NW 12 G22    N  8 G15     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N 22         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   54-59 (+4)   35-40        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+13)  38-43 (-13)  87-92        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    NW 10 G17    W  5         NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   56-61 (+2)   35-40        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+10)  36-41 (-10)  89-94        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011 /220 PM CDT SAT OCT 1 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   61-66 (0)    37-42        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   30-35 (-7)   82-87        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW 10 G18    NW  6        NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      N 18         
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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