
732 
FNUS54 KMRX 010746
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND FIFTEEN DEGREES 
BELOW NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP BY 
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK TO NEAR 
NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-18)  33-38 (-8)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+10)  95-100 (+10) 40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G20                 NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW  9 G17    NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-18)  32-37 (-7)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   94-99 (+8)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G23                 NW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    NW 10 G22    NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-020900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-15)  31-36 (-6)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   95-100 (+13) 35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G23                 N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G23     N  8 G19     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     N 20         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-020900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-10)  34-39 (-7)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   92-97 (+13)  31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G23                  N  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G21     N  8 G19     N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 26                      N 22         
DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-020900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-9)   32-37 (-8)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  95-100 (+12) 32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G25                 N 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G22     N  9 G19     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 28                      N 25         
DISPERSION            98 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-17)  34-39 (-8)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   95-100 (+13) 36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G21                 NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  7 G15    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-13)  34-39 (-8)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   95-100 (+18) 33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G20                 N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G20     N  6         NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 25                      N 20         
DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
346 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2011 /246 AM CDT SAT OCT 1 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-8)   37-42 (-6)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   86-91 (+11)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G22                  N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G20     N  6 G16     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 26                      N 22         
DISPERSION            115 VERY GOOD             63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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