
121 
FNUS54 KMRX 301855
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND FIFTEEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR 
THE WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP BY THE FIRST OF NEXT 
WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-15)  50-55 (-13)  32-37        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    49-54 (+7)   80-85        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW 12 G21    NW  9 G19    NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-17)  49-54 (-13)  31-36        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   48-53 (+5)   80-85        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G24    NW 15 G27    NW 12 G24    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-011945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-15)  51-56 (-11)  32-37        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   44-49 (+4)   73-78        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G23                 N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G23    NW 14 G24    N 10 G21     N 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-011945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-15)  57-62 (-9)   34-39        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-11)  37-42 (0)    72-77        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G20                  N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G18     NW 12 G22    NW  9 G18    N 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N 20         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-011945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-13)  56-61 (-9)   33-38        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-9)   38-43 (-1)   75-80        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G23                 N 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW 13 G24    NW  9 G19    NW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 26                      N 22         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-16)  53-58 (-13)  33-38        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   47-52 (+9)   78-83        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    NW 11 G21    NW  7        NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-15)  55-60 (-11)  34-39        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-8)   41-46 (+2)   76-81        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 12 G21    NW  7        NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011 /155 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  60-65 (-8)   36-41        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-10)  34-39 (-2)   69-74        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G19                  N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW 12 G21    N  7 G15     N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N 18         
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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