
121 
FNUS54 KMRX 300809
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION AREA TODAY...BRINGING BREEZY CONDITIONS AS WELL AS CHANCE FOR 
SHOWERS. UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE 
WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP BY THE FIRST OF NEXT 
WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK TO NORMAL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-14)  35-40 (-15)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   95-100 (+16) 46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G22    NW  9 G19    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      NW 31        
DISPERSION            107 VERY GOOD             85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  33-38 (-16)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   95-100 (+13) 42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G22                  NW 13 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    NW 11 G21    NW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      NW 32        
DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-010915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  34-39 (-16)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  95-100 (+12) 37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G19                 NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW 12 G26    NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      
PRECIP END                         8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-010915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-10)  39-44 (-13)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-13)  85-90 (-2)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 N 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    NW  9 G19    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-010915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-10)  38-43 (-13)  58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  86-91 (-5)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G22    NW 10 G20    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 29        
DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   90 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-14)  37-42 (-14)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   95-100 (+12) 40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  7 G15    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-12)  38-43 (-13)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  93-98 (+8)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G20                 NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  8 G16    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
409 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2011 /309 AM CDT FRI SEP 30 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-11)  40-45 (-12)  61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-17)  88-93 (+3)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G20                 N  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  8 G17    NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 25         
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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