
390 
FNUS54 KMRX 291855
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES FOR THE 
WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP BY THE FIRST OF NEXT 
WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK TO NORMAL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-301945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   60-65 (-13)  37-42        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-14)  45-50 (+6)   86-91        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW 11 G21    NW  8 G17    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 28        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-301945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   59-64 (-13)  36-41        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-15)  43-48 (+1)   86-91        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  NW 13 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW 15 G26    NW 11 G21    NW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 29        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-301945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   60-65 (-12)  36-41        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-14)  38-43 (-6)   86-91        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW 13 G23    NW 12 G24    NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM                                               
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-301945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   65-70 (-10)  38-43        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-16)  35-40 (-9)   82-87        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 N 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G21    NW  9 G18    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 23         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-301945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   64-69 (-10)  37-42        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-22)  37-42 (-9)   81-86        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 14 G23    NW 10 G20    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   81 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-301945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   62-67 (-13)  38-43        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-12)  41-46 (0)    86-91        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    NW  7        NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-301945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   64-69 (-12)  38-43        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-9)   36-41 (-8)   86-91        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    NW  8 G15    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM                                               
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-301945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011 /155 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   67-72 (-11)  40-45        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-11)  35-40 (-10)  84-89        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 N  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    NW  8 G18    NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     N 24         
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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