
736 
FNUS54 KMRX 281916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL 
BRING SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION BY TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE 
REGION ON THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS BY 
THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   72-77 (0)    48-53        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   42-47 (-3)   86-91        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 W 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     SW  8 G21    NW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               112 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   71-76 (0)    47-52        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   42-47 (-3)   86-91        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  NW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     SW  9 G22    NW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 28        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S 
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-292000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   72-77 (0)    48-53        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   42-47 (0)    86-91        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  NW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     SW 10 G27    NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM                      
PRECIP END            8 AM                      8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-292000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    75-80 (0)    50-55        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   42-47 (0)    87-92        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         SW  8 G18    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-292000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   74-79 (0)    48-53        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+3)   44-49 (0)    87-92        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  6         NW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   74-79 (0)    49-54        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   40-45 (-3)   86-91        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 W 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     SW  7 G18    NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   76-81 (0)    51-56        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   40-45 (0)    87-92        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         SW  8 G19    NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM                      
PRECIP END            8 AM                      8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               102 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011 /215 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   77-82 (0)    52-57        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   41-46 (+2)   87-92        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     SW  7 G17    NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               102 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

