
477 
FNUS54 KMRX 270713
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY BEHIND PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT.  HOWEVER...A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LINGERING TO OUR
NORTH MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   51-56 (-4)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-19)  86-91 (-11)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   48-53 (-6)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-23)  88-93 (-9)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-280815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-1)   50-55 (-2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-32)  89-94 (-7)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-280815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   52-57 (-2)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-27)  87-92 (-10)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-280815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   51-56 (-4)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-25)  88-93 (-9)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   76 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   50-55 (-6)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-22)  91-96 (-6)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    51-56 (-2)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-28)  89-94 (-5)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011 /213 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   53-58 (0)    77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-37)  88-93 (-3)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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