
935 
FNUS54 KMRX 260806
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL RETURN TODAY AHEAD OF A LARGE AND SLOW MOVING AREA 
OF LOW PRESSURE. SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND INCREASE AHEAD OF AN 
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALSO EXPECTED BY 
THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED STRONG STORMS COULD DEVELOP...BUT THE 
THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS IS UNLIKELY. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD 
END THIS EVENING...AFTER PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. DRY WEATHER 
LOOKS TO RETURN FROM MID WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...AS THE AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE SHIFTS TO OUR EAST.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    55-60 (-4)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   92-97 (+3)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           10           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.18         0.02         
LAL                   5            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   54-59 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.14         0.03         
LAL                   4            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-270900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   51-56 (-7)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   95-100 (+8)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G30                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G23    SW  5        SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-270900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   53-58 (-9)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+12)  90-95 (+5)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-270900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   54-59 (-7)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+9)   90-95 (0)    27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           10           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.14         0.01         
LAL                   5            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 18         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   55-60 (-3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   94-99 (+1)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           10           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.14         0.01         
LAL                   5            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   53-58 (-8)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  90-95 (+6)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-270900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
406 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2011 /306 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   53-58 (-12)  75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+16)  86-91 (+4)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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