
128 
FNUS54 KMRX 250857
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY...WITH RAIN 
CHANCES VERY LIMITED THROUGH THIS EVENING.  A LARGE AND SLOW MOVING 
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD MOISTURE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 
AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...WHICH WILL RESULT 
IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  DRY WEATHER LOOKS 
TO RETURN FROM MID WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+5)   58-63 (+8)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   87-92 (-5)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  9         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  6        S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.15         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 29         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   56-61 (+10)  72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   89-94 (-6)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 S  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SE  8 G18    S  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.12         
LAL                   2            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 25         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+4)   56-61 (+12)  70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   88-93 (-3)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  9 G25     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.17         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 30         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+3)   59-64 (+11)  73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   88-93 (+8)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  8 G20    SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.25         
LAL                   1            2            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   57-62 (+10)  74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   90-95 (+1)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 11 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  6 G16    SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.17         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 25         
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   73 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   56-61 (+8)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   89-94 (-4)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5        SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.15         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 26         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   59-64 (+11)  75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   87-92 (+2)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5 G15    SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.27         
LAL                   1            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 31        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
457 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 /357 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   61-66 (+11)  75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   86-91 (+4)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  8 G19     SW  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.29         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 30        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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