
924 
FNUS54 KMRX 241914
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND 
LAST INTO SUNDAY. A LARGE AND SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 
WILL SPREAD MOISTURE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A 
CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    73-78 (+4)   56-61        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  41-46 (-10)  83-88        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 26         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   71-76 (+3)   55-60        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  41-46 (-11)  83-88        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6        S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     S 23         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-252015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   71-76 (+4)   55-60        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  32-37 (-9)   82-87        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     S 30         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-252015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   75-80 (+3)   58-63        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   31-36 (-5)   81-86        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  7         S  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-252015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   76-81 (+3)   56-61        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   30-35 (-6)   83-88        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  7        S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 26         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   76-81 (+3)   56-61        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  34-39 (-9)   82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   76-81 (+3)   57-62        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   31-36 (-4)   85-90        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  5         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            3            5            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
314 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011 /214 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    77-82 (+2)   60-65        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   31-36 (+1)   82-87        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  6         SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               101 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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