
386 
FNUS54 KMRX 240916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY AND LAST INTO SUNDAY. A 
LARGE AND SLOWING MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SPREAD MOISTURE 
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY SUNDAY NIGHT 
INTO MONDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE 
SUNDAY...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+1)   50-55 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-23)  95-100 (+3)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 14         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   46-51 (-3)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-22)  95-100 (+2)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 15         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-251015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   44-49 (-4)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-33)  86-91 (-8)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 15         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-251015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+2)   47-52 (-4)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-30)  74-79 (-16)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 15         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-251015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+4)   46-51 (-6)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-32)  76-81 (-15)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      S 14         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   48-53 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-25)  91-96 (-1)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 12         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   48-53 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-29)  86-91 (-2)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S 14         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
516 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2011 /416 AM CDT SAT SEP 24 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   49-54 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-27)  82-87 (-2)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      S 15         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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