
936 
FNUS54 KMRX 221906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL BRING 
A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THROUGH 
THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW ASSOCIATED 
WITH THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT OVER OUR AREA FOR THE NEXT 
SEVERAL DAYS WHICH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS INTO THE REGION 
ONCE AGAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   69-74 (-6)   50-55        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  66-71 (+10)  95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.12         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W  3         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   67-72 (-7)   48-53        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   67-72 (+11)  95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.16         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW  3        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-232015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   66-71 (-8)   47-52        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   63-68 (+8)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.08         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW  3        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-232015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   71-76 (-7)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-8)   61-66 (+8)   95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.07         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      N  5         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-232015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   71-76 (-6)   49-54        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-8)   62-67 (+8)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.09         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   71-76 (-6)   50-55        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   62-67 (+8)   95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.10         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW  3        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   71-76 (-7)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   59-64 (+5)   93-98        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   4            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      E  3         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011 /206 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   72-77 (-7)   49-54        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   57-62 (+4)   90-95        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      N  3         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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