
362 
FNUS54 KMRX 211841
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. 
HOWEVER...A FEW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. A COLD 
FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY....WITH RAIN CHANCES 
INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE REGION INTO FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   73-78 (+2)   56-61        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  51-56 (-13)  93-98        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.24         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      S  5         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   71-76 (0)    54-59        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  52-57 (-10)  95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.12         0.41         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   70-75 (-2)   54-59        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   53-58 (-8)   95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.14         0.33         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    74-79 (0)    56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   52-57 (-9)   91-96        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.14         0.36         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   74-79 (0)    56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  54-59 (-7)   93-98        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.16         0.50         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   30 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   76-81 (+3)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   50-55 (-13)  94-99        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.25         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW  5        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   77-82 (+3)   58-63        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   48-53 (-15)  90-95        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.16         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W  5         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
241 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011 /141 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   78-83 (+3)   59-64        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   48-53 (-13)  86-91        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.14         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW  7        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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