
581 
FNUS54 KMRX 210832
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ALONG A DISSIPATING WEAK FRONTAL 
BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.  THIS WILL PROVIDE 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.  ANOTHER 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
LATER IN THE WEEK...CONTINUING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND EVEN A SLIGHT 
CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   56-61 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+9)   95-100 (+1)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W  7         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   55-60 (0)    73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   95-100 (+3)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.04         0.13         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W  9         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   55-60 (-2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    95-100 (+3)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.04         0.15         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   58-63 (-1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   92-97 (-1)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.03         0.16         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   58-63 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   90-95 (-3)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.03         0.17         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (0)    57-62 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+10)  95-100 (-1)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.04         0.11         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W  7         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   58-63 (-2)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.03         0.09         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      N  7         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
432 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011 /332 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+4)   59-64 (-2)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   92-97 (-1)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.02         0.11         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     N  7         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

