
329 
FNUS54 KMRX 210220 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE. 
HOWEVER...A FEW SHOWERS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A THUNDERSTORM...WILL 
PERSIST TONIGHT. A STRONGER COLD FRONT...ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS...WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE 
REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS LINGERING INTO FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220330-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   70-75 (-1)   55-60        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  68-73 (+10)  93-98        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.37         0.09         0.29         
LAL                   1            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220330-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   68-73 (0)    55-60        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  68-73 (+8)   93-98        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.25         0.12         0.33         
LAL                   1            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220330-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   69-74 (+3)   55-60        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  61-66 (-2)   93-98        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.24         0.10         0.37         
LAL                   1            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220330-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   74-79 (+6)   56-61        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  58-63 (-11)  94-99        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.21         0.11         0.36         
LAL                   2            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220330-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   74-79 (+6)   55-60        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  58-63 (-9)   93-98        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.19         0.14         0.41         
LAL                   2            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   72-77 (0)    56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  66-71 (+10)  93-98        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.36         0.09         0.33         
LAL                   1            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   73-78 (+2)   57-62        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  60-65 (-3)   94-99        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.37         0.07         0.26         
LAL                   2            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220330-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1020 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011 /920 PM CDT TUE SEP 20 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   75-80 (+5)   58-63        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  59-64 (-8)   94-99        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.30         0.06         0.21         
LAL                   2            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NE  6        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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