
196 
FNUS54 KMRX 200645
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR WEST WILL DISSIPATE TODAY...ALLOWING 
CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE TO LINGER OVER THE AREA.   ANOTHER COLD 
FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION BY THURSDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+3)   57-62 (+3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-7)   93-98 (+2)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.23         
LAL                   2            2            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SE 10        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   55-60 (+3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   92-97 (+3)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.24         
LAL                   2            2            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      SE 14        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-210745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   55-60 (+3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+8)   95-100 (+8)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.07         0.27         
LAL                   2            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SE  6        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-210745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-2)   57-62 (+3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+7)   94-99 (+10)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.09         0.24         
LAL                   2            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     SE  9        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-210745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   56-61 (+4)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+11)  92-97 (+7)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.09         0.23         
LAL                   2            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SE 13        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   57-62 (+2)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   93-98 (+3)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.25         
LAL                   2            2            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     SE  8        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    58-63 (+1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   95-100 (+10) 59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.09         0.21         
LAL                   2            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE  5        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011 /145 AM CDT TUE SEP 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    59-64 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   95-100 (+9)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.12         0.20         
LAL                   2            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SE 10        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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