
937 
FNUS54 KMRX 191843
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL STALL TO OUR WEST TONIGHT BEFORE 
DISSIPATING.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION BY 
THURSDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   72-77 (+3)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   55-60 (-1)   90-95        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.05         0.02         0.29         
LAL                   2            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   70-75 (+3)   55-60        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   57-62 (+3)   92-97        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.09         0.02         0.27         
LAL                   1            3            4            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-201945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   68-73 (+1)   57-62        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   59-64 (+5)   87-92        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.11         0.03         0.29         
LAL                   1            3            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     S  7         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-201945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   72-77 (+1)   60-65        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   56-61 (+2)   84-89        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.12         0.04         0.32         
LAL                   2            3            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-201945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   71-76 (-1)   59-64        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   56-61 (+5)   82-87        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.13         0.04         0.33         
LAL                   2            3            4            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   73-78 (+1)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    54-59 (+3)   92-97        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.07         0.02         0.32         
LAL                   2            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   73-78 (+2)   59-64        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   57-62 (0)    92-97        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.07         0.03         0.26         
LAL                   2            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 PM EDT MON SEP 19 2011 /143 PM CDT MON SEP 19 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   75-80 (+5)   61-66        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   55-60 (0)    85-90        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.10         0.05         0.25         
LAL                   2            3            4            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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