
194 
FNUS54 KMRX 190748
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL STALL TO OUR WEST TONIGHT BEFORE 
DISSIPATING.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION BY 
THURSDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   53-58 (+4)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   95-100 (+5)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.15         0.09         
LAL                   2            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      W  5         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   51-56 (+2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   95-100 (+11) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.14         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  5        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-200900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   53-58 (+1)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   95-100 (+12) 57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.13         
LAL                   2            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SE  3        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-200900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   55-60 (+2)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   92-97 (+6)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.10         
LAL                   2            2            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S  3         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-200900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   55-60 (+4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   91-96 (+2)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.11         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S  3         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   54-59 (+3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   95-100 (+10) 52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.08         
LAL                   2            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W  3         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   56-61 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   95-100 (+13) 51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.18         0.06         
LAL                   2            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW  3        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
348 AM EDT MON SEP 19 2011 /248 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   57-62 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   92-97 (+10)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.15         0.06         
LAL                   2            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S  3         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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