
222 
FNUS54 KMRX 181917
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH 
MONDAY AS A WEAK AND SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE 
WEST. CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY 
AND TUESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. TEMERATURES WILL 
REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   70-75 (-2)   55-60        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    50-55 (0)    92-97        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.17         0.05         
LAL                   1            2            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   69-74 (0)    52-57        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   47-52 (-3)   90-95        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.11         
LAL                   1            2            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-192000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   69-74 (0)    52-57        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   50-55 (-4)   89-94        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         0.10         
LAL                   1            2            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-192000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   73-78 (-1)   56-61        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   47-52 (-2)   80-85        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.10         0.08         
LAL                   1            2            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-192000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   72-77 (-2)   55-60        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   48-53 (-1)   80-85        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         0.08         
LAL                   1            2            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   72-77 (-3)   55-60        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   44-49 (0)    92-97        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.11         0.07         
LAL                   1            2            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   72-77 (-4)   56-61        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   50-55 (+3)   90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.13         0.04         
LAL                   1            3            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
317 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011 /217 PM CDT SUN SEP 18 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   73-78 (-3)   58-63        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-5)   50-55 (+4)   88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            3            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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