
819 
FNUS54 KMRX 150835
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS 
AND A POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH A MAJORITY OF 
TODAY AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH 
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-14)  48-53 (-9)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+21)  95-100 (+7)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G19                 E  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G20     N  5         E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     E 12         
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-11)  49-54 (-5)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+21)  95-100 (+8)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      SE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G17     N  5         SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SE  9        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-9)   50-55 (-5)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+19)  95-100 (+7)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     S  3         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-11)  54-59 (-2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+22)  92-97 (+8)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     NE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SE  5        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-9)   54-59 (-1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+22)  91-96 (+3)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SE  6        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-12)  51-56 (-7)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+19)  93-98 (+7)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G19                 E  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G21     LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     E 10         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-13)  50-55 (-9)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+21)  95-100 (+14) 53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G21                 NE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G21     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      E  7         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
435 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2011 /335 AM CDT THU SEP 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-15)  53-58 (-7)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+28)  92-97 (+11)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G19                 NE  5 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G20     NE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      E  6         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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