
293 
FNUS54 KMRX 140823
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES NEAR NIL TODAY. 
A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH IT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR 
MOST OF THE DAY THURSDAY...AND INTO THURSDAY EVENING. ONCE THE FRONT 
PASSES TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE 
WEEKEND.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   55-60 (+3)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   95-100 (+7)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.09         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR
50. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   52-57 (0)    67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-11)  95-100 (+24) 57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    54-59 (+1)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  95-100 (+28) 57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   55-60 (+3)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  95-100 (+25) 58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      N 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  6                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     N 13         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   54-59 (+4)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  95-100 (+26) 60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT
WINDS. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   56-61 (+2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  95-100 (+18) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    58-63 (+4)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   88-93 (+8)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.07         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     N 17         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
423 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2011 /323 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   59-64 (+3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  87-92 (+12)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.07         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      N 18         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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