
432 
FNUS54 KMRX 131853
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ONCE THE 
FRONT PASSES TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   79-84 (0)    57-62        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   38-43 (-2)   90-95        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      N 18         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   78-83 (+1)   53-58        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-16)  35-40 (-6)   95-100       57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   77-82 (0)    54-59        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-19)  36-41 (-6)   93-98        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   81-86 (+1)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-19)  33-38 (-6)   92-97        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      N 16         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   80-85 (+1)   54-59        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-19)  33-38 (-6)   93-98        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   81-86 (+1)   56-61        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-11)  33-38 (-6)   90-95        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   81-86 (0)    59-64        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  34-39 (-4)   82-87        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      N 20         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
253 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2011 /153 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   84-89 (+1)   60-65        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-16)  31-36 (-8)   83-88        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      N 22         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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