
405 
FNUS54 KMRX 111907
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...TRIGGERING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT 
WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...TRIGGERING ADDITIONAL 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 
RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS AHEAD OF THE COLD 
FRONT...AND THEN WILL DROP BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT BY THE 
END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   76-81 (0)    53-58        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   38-43 (-6)   92-97        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            3 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   73-78 (-2)   51-56        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-12)  37-42 (-1)   89-94        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            3 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-122015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   72-77 (-2)   51-56        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   36-41 (-3)   90-95        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            3 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-122015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    77-82 (-1)   53-58        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-11)  32-37 (-5)   81-86        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            3 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-122015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   78-83 (+1)   52-57        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   30-35 (-6)   84-89        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            3 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      9100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   79-84 (+1)   52-57        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   34-39 (-5)   92-97        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   79-84 (0)    55-60        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   34-39 (-4)   90-95        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            3 AM         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
307 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011 /207 PM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   80-85 (0)    54-59        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-9)   34-39 (-1)   93-98        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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