
160 
FNUS54 KMRX 111529 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY TODAY AND MONDAY...TRIGGERING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT 
WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...TRIGGERING ADDITIONAL 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 
RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS AHEAD OF THE COLD 
FRONT...AND THEN WILL DROP BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT BY THE 
END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   52-57 (+2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   84-89 (-10)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W 10         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   51-56 (+2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   87-92 (-6)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  9         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-121630-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   50-55 (+2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    87-92 (-6)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  6         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-121630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   52-57 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    89-94 (-4)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  6         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-121630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   49-54 (+1)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    87-92 (-6)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  6         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   52-57 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   87-92 (-6)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  8         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   53-58 (+2)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   83-88 (-10)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  7         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1129 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011 /1029 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   54-59 (+2)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   85-90 (-8)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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