
337 
FNUS54 KMRX 040711
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 
TUESDAY EVENING FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS LATE TODAY AND MONDAY.  TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE 
REMAINS OF LEE WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE FRONT TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD 
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY.  THE RAIN MAY
BECOME HEAVY WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL 
OCCURRING ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-8)   62-67 (-5)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   90-95 (+3)   74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.31         1.71         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     N 13         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-8)   61-66 (-3)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  93-98 (+4)   73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.22         1.65         
LAL                   4            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      N 13         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-10)  62-67 (-2)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+15)  90-95 (+4)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.40         2.03         
LAL                   4            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      N 17         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-11)  64-69 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+19)  87-92 (+3)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.51         2.23         
LAL                   4            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      N 22         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-11)  65-70 (0)    72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+19)  86-91 (-1)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.48         2.03         
LAL                   4            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     N 21         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-9)   63-68 (-4)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+11)  89-94 (+5)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.31         1.83         
LAL                   4            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N 15         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-12)  64-69 (-5)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+19)  90-95 (+11)  72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.52         2.17         
LAL                   4            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     N 20         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011 /211 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-12)  64-69 (-6)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+21)  88-93 (+9)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.68         2.65         
LAL                   4            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      N 23         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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