
277 
FNUS54 KMRX 210755
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON 
SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   61-66 (-1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   95-100 (+13) 42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.11         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N 12         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   59-64 (-2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   94-99 (+12)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.13         0.05         
LAL                   4            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      N 12         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   61-66 (-2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   86-91 (+8)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.16         0.01         
LAL                   4            3            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 10         
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    64-69 (0)    82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   87-92 (+8)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.17         0.01         
LAL                   4            3            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N 12         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   63-68 (0)    82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    85-90 (+6)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.15         0.01         
LAL                   4            3            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      N 14         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   61-66 (-1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   95-100 (+11) 36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.16         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      N  8         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   64-69 (-2)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+8)   89-94 (+9)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N  9         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
355 AM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011 /255 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   66-71 (-1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   88-93 (+8)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N 12         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

