
257 
FNUS54 KMRX 171920
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST AIR IS STARTING TO BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA. ON 
THURSDAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE 
AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT FOR SATURDAY...THEN ANOTHER 
WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY 
NEXT WEEK. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   80-85 (-2)   59-64        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   41-46 (+6)   93-98        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.14         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW  5        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   77-82 (-5)   57-62        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   42-47 (+7)   91-96        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            3            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   78-83 (-5)   58-63        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   43-48 (+9)   88-93        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.13         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   83-88 (-2)   59-64        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   42-47 (+9)   93-98        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.16         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            2            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   83-88 (-1)   57-62        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  45-50 (+11)  95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.16         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            2            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   83-88 (-1)   59-64        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   39-44 (+4)   93-98        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.13         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      NW  3        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   85-90 (0)    62-67        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   38-43 (+4)   90-95        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.13         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            3            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 PM EDT WED AUG 17 2011 /220 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   87-92 (0)    63-68        87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   38-43 (+6)   93-98        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.14         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            2            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

