
642 
FNUS54 KMRX 161947
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE QUIET WEATHER THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY...THEN A COUPLE OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL BRING CHANCES OF 
RAIN LATER IN THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    82-87 (+3)   56-61        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   32-37 (-5)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   81-86 (+4)   54-59        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   30-35 (-9)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 10800                     8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    82-87 (+5)   54-59        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   30-35 (-5)   92-97        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 10200                     9200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   85-90 (+3)   56-61        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-14)  29-34 (-4)   91-96        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8500                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   84-89 (+2)   54-59        83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  29-34 (-2)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9200                      9200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 12         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   73 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   84-89 (+2)   56-61        83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   29-34 (-4)   95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8800                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   86-91 (+2)   59-64        86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-5)   30-35 (-1)   91-96        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
347 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 2011 /247 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   87-92 (+2)   60-65        88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   27-32 (-1)   92-97        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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