
351 
FNUS54 KMRX 140742
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL 
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LINGERING OVER THE REGION INTO MONDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   57-62 (-3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   95-100 (0)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.05         0.06         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 18        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   56-61 (-4)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   91-96 (+1)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.05         0.05         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 17        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   56-61 (-6)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   87-92 (+2)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N 14         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   58-63 (-6)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   85-90 (-2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     N 15         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   57-62 (-7)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   88-93 (+1)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      N  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     N 16         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   78 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   58-63 (-4)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   91-96 (-1)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   60-65 (-4)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   84-89 (-4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N 13         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
342 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2011 /242 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   61-66 (-5)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   81-86 (-6)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  5        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N 13         
DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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