
001 
FNUS54 KMRX 131913
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AHEAD OF 
A COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA SUNDAY...AND WILL 
EXIT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST SUNDAY NIGHT. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES 
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS. IMPROVING WEATHER 
MONDAY AS DRIER AIR MASS MOVES IN AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO 
SHIFT EAST.      

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   73-78 (-11)  58-63        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  59-64 (+12)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.29         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   4            4            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   72-77 (-9)   57-62        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   55-60 (+8)   88-93        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     NW  5        NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.28         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   4            4            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   73-78 (-8)   57-62        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   48-53 (+1)   86-91        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.11         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 14         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   79-84 (-6)   60-65        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   44-49 (-3)   84-89        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   79-84 (-6)   59-64        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   43-48 (-7)   82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    N  5         N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               86 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   77-82 (-10)  59-64        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  50-55 (+8)   90-95        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.22         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   4            4            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   79-84 (-9)   60-65        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   44-49 (+2)   89-94        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         N  5         N  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.07         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   4            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 15         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011 /213 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   82-87 (-7)   61-66        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+6)   42-47 (0)    85-90        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    N  6         N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

DGS/TD

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