
424 
FNUS54 KMRX 130742
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...AND WILL EXIT TO OUR 
SOUTH AND EAST ON SUNDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   63-68 (+3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   94-99 (+6)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.38         0.23         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 10         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   62-67 (+3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  91-96 (0)    53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.35         0.26         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 10         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-140845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   62-67 (+3)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   87-92 (+2)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.36         0.22         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-140845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    63-68 (+3)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   90-95 (0)    50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.27         0.13         
LAL                   3            4            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-140845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    62-67 (+4)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   95-100 (+4)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.26         0.16         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   65 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   63-68 (+2)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   93-98 (+4)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.34         0.21         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W  9         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   65-70 (+2)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   89-94 (+3)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.27         0.10         
LAL                   3            4            4            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
342 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2011 /242 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   66-71 (+2)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   87-92 (+5)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.22         0.06         
LAL                   3            4            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

