
397 
FNUS54 KMRX 091916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL FRONT WILL SHIFT STEADILY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...TRIGGERING AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR 
THUNDERSTORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 
COOL A FEW DEGREES BEHIND THIS FRONT AFTER WEDNESDAY 
ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN PLACE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   81-86 (-1)   57-62        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-11)  37-42 (-9)   87-92        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   80-85 (-1)   57-62        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-12)  33-38 (-13)  81-86        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     NW  5        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            11 PM                     CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   80-85 (0)    57-62        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  32-37 (-12)  83-88        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            11 PM                     CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   84-89 (+1)   59-64        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   35-40 (-14)  88-93        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            11 PM                     CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   84-89 (+2)   59-64        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-8)   33-38 (-15)  86-91        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            11 PM                     CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   85-90 (+1)   58-63        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   32-37 (-11)  86-91        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   86-91 (+2)   60-65        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   34-39 (-11)  83-88        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011 /216 PM CDT TUE AUG 9 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   87-92 (+2)   62-67        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   35-40 (-12)  84-89        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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