
138 
FNUS54 KMRX 091443
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY AND TONIGHT...TRIGGERING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE 
EXPECTED TO COOL A FEW DEGREES BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT AFTER WEDNESDAY 
ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN PLACE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101545-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   62-67 (-1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   94-99 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 16         
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101545-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   61-66 (-1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  95-100 (+2)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  6 G17     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 17         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-101545-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   61-66 (-1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+12)  95-100 (+3)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  5         NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-101545-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   63-68 (-1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   94-99 (0)    44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-101545-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   62-67 (-1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   95-100 (+1)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   62-67 (-1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   95-100 (0)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 14         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   64-69 (-1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   94-99 (0)    40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101545-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1043 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011 /943 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-5)   65-70 (-1)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   93-98 (-1)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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