
413 
FNUS54 KMRX 090723
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY AND TONIGHT...TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. 
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL A FEW DEGREES BEHIND THIS COLD 
FRONT AFTER WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR 
IN PLACE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   62-67 (-1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   94-99 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 16         
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    61-66 (-1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  95-100 (+2)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  6 G17     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 17         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-100800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   61-66 (-1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+12)  95-100 (+3)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  5         NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-100800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   63-68 (-1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   94-99 (0)    44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-100800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   62-67 (-1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+6)   95-100 (+1)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   62-67 (-1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   95-100 (0)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 14         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   64-69 (-1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   94-99 (0)    40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2011 /500 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   65-70 (-1)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+8)   93-98 (-1)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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