
576 
FNUS54 KMRX 080812
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AND TUESDAY...WITH SEVERAL COMPLEXES OF 
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY EXPECTED TO MOVE 
INTO THE LOCAL AREA. EACH DAY THERE WILL BE THE THREAT OF DAMAGING 
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE SYSTEMS. TEMPERATURES 
WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-090900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+5)   66-71 (0)    84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-13)  90-95 (-4)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  5         W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.15         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 21         
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-090900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+5)   64-69 (0)    82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-12)  90-95 (-4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W  7 G16     W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.07         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W 22         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-090900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+3)   65-70 (+1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   90-95 (-4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.16         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     W 16         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-090900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   67-72 (+1)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   90-95 (-4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.18         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W 13         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-090900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   65-70 (+1)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   90-95 (-4)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.13         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-090900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   67-72 (0)    87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  90-95 (-4)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  6 G16    SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.14         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     W 20         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-090900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      90-95 (+3)   69-74 (+1)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   90-95 (-4)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.12         0.32         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 17         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-090900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT MON AUG 8 2011 /500 AM CDT MON AUG 8 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   70-75 (+1)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    91-96 (-3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.38         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW STORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY 
RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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