
535 
FNUS54 KMRX 071924
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION INTO MID WEEK...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY. AN UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCE MAY PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ON 
TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES 
WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL 
DAYS.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   85-90 (+3)   66-71        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  43-48 (-17)  86-91        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  8 G16     SW  6 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.15         0.35         
LAL                   3            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-1)   84-89 (+3)   64-69        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   40-45 (-18)  87-92        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  9         SW  6 G21    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.12         0.24         
LAL                   3            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   85-90 (+2)   64-69        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   37-42 (-15)  84-89        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  6         SW  7 G16    W  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.11         0.21         
LAL                   3            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   89-94 (+1)   67-72        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   41-46 (-6)   83-88        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  8 G17    W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.12         0.26         
LAL                   3            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   89-94 (+1)   67-72        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   40-45 (-7)   82-87        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  6        W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.08         0.20         
LAL                   2            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    89-94 (+5)   67-72        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   39-44 (-17)  86-91        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W  8         SW  6 G23    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.17         0.32         
LAL                   3            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    90-95 (+3)   69-74        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    40-45 (-12)  84-89        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  7 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  7        SW  6 G15    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.09         0.20         0.36         
LAL                   3            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
324 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2011 /224 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    91-96 (0)    70-75        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   41-46 (-3)   84-89        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  8 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     SW  6        SW  8 G17    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.14         0.17         0.26         
LAL                   2            2            3            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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