
743 
FNUS54 KMRX 061535 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL HELP TO TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH 
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT 
WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY 
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FEW STORMS EACH DAY HAVING 
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071645-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-6)   67-72 (+1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  95-100 (+1)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.19         0.19         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 22         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071645-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   66-71 (+1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+11)  95-100 (+1)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.07         0.22         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 24         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071645-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   64-69 (+1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+10)  95-100 (+2)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.10         0.34         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 21         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071645-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   67-72 (+1)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+13)  95-100 (0)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.07         0.42         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     W 20         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071645-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-6)   65-70 (+1)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+13)  95-100 (+1)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.05         0.37         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     W 20         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-5)   68-73 (+1)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+10)  95-100 (0)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.14         0.26         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 23         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   70-75 (+1)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+11)  95-100 (0)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.21         0.40         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 24         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071645-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1135 AM EDT SAT AUG 6 2011 /1035 AM CDT SAT AUG 6 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   71-76 (+1)   90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+15)  95-100 (+1)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.07         0.60         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 23         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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