
410 
FNUS54 KMRX 031425 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE HOT
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. A WEAK
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT AND
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY AND AGAIN THROUGH FRIDAY PROVIDING SOME RELIEF FROM THE HEAT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041530-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   68-73 (+4)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   88-93 (+5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  5         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041530-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   66-71 (+6)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   86-91 (-1)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  5         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-041530-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   66-71 (+6)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   80-85 (-4)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.21         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 17         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 90S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-041530-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    69-74 (+6)   90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   81-86 (-6)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.04         
LAL                   1            2            2            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 16         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-041530-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   67-72 (+5)   89-94        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   81-86 (-12)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.07         
LAL                   1            2            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 17         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   68-73 (+5)   90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   87-92 (-1)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 12         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041530-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   70-75 (+5)   91-96        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   85-90 (+5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.22         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO UPPER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO UPPER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041530-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1025 AM EDT WED AUG 3 2011 /925 AM CDT WED AUG 3 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      94-99 (+1)   72-77 (+5)   92-97        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   84-89 (-1)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.04         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 18         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 91 TO 100. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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