
098 
FNUS54 KMRX 021834
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE HOT AND 
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH MID 
WEEK. A WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE 
WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   90-95 (+3)   68-73        87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-11)  32-37 (-2)   88-93        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   87-92 (+1)   66-71        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  29-34 (-3)   86-91        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  5         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            3            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   87-92 (+1)   66-71        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   28-33 (-4)   80-85        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  5         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   90-95 (0)    69-74        90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-10)  32-37 (-6)   80-85        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    89-94 (-2)   67-72        89-94        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-14)  31-36 (-14)  80-85        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   91-96 (+1)   68-73        90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  29-34 (+1)   87-92        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   93-98 (+2)   70-75        91-96        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   30-35 (+2)   84-89        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.19         0.00         
LAL                   1            2            3            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO UPPER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011 /134 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   94-99 (+1)   71-76        92-97        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   29-34 (0)    84-89        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            2            3            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 91 TO 100. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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