
438 
FNUS54 KMRX 280702
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST AND MOISTURE 
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE REGION TODAY AND FRIDAY...LEADING 
TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM 
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS 
THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER. BY FRIDAY...THE 
UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL HAVE SHIFTED FAR ENOUGH EAST FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   66-71 (+3)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   84-89 (-4)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      W  7         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   65-70 (+4)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   81-86 (-7)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-290815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   64-69 (+1)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   83-88 (-5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM        
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     W  3         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-290815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    65-70 (+1)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   84-89 (-9)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM        
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.13         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SW  5        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-290815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   61-66 (-2)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-7)   95-100 (-1)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM        
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.14         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SW  3        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   66-71 (+3)   89-94        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   87-92 (-2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      W  7         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   69-74 (+2)   89-94        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   85-90 (-3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW  6        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
302 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2011 /202 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   69-74 (+1)   90-95        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   89-94 (+2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM        
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   2            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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