
962 
FNUS54 KMRX 250823
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...HELPING TO TRIGGER A BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN BECOME STATIONARY 
AROUND THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS 
MAY BECOME SEVERE TODAY AND  TUESDAY...BRINGING DAMAGING WINDS AND 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL NOT BRING MUCH 
RELIEF TO THE HEAT...WITH HOT...HUMID...AND HAZY CONDITIONS 
CONTINUING FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-8)   64-69 (-2)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   93-98 (0)    42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            2            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N  0         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-8)   62-67 (-4)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   95-100 (+2)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     N  0         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-260930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-8)   62-67 (-4)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+8)   95-100 (+7)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  0         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-260930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-6)   66-71 (-3)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+8)   95-100 (+11) 46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   5            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N  0         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-260930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   64-69 (-4)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+9)   95-100 (+5)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   5            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  0         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-8)   65-70 (-4)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+7)   95-100 (+3)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      N  0         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 90. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-7)   66-71 (-4)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   95-100 (+8)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   5            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N  0         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 90. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO
MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
423 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2011 /323 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   67-72 (-4)   88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   95-100 (+8)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   5            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N  0         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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