
133 
FNUS54 KMRX 160858
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND DAYTIME HEATING...WILL CAUSE 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY. 
RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AFTER SUNSET...AND ALSO 
DECREASE ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIANS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TODAY
...THEN WARM SLIGHTLY ON SUNDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   60-65 (+1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   95-100 (+1)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.07         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     NW  5        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    59-64 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G17    SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   3            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     NW  3        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   61-66 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-11)  89-94 (-3)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   4            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     NE  6        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID
90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   63-68 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-15)  93-98 (+3)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   4            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     E  6         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO
MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   63-68 (+1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-17)  92-97 (-1)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G16    SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   4            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SE  6        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   62-67 (+2)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   92-97 (-2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   3            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NW  3        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    64-69 (0)    84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   91-96 (-1)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   4            2            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S  5         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO
MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
458 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011 /358 AM CDT SAT JUL 16 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   65-70 (-1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-14)  94-99 (+4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   4            2            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     SE  8        
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO UPPER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO UPPER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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