
684 
FNUS54 KMRX 151827
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OVER OR NEAR THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT...SCATTERED 
MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BY THE LATTER 
PART OF THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES LESSENING AND 
TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   79-84 (+1)   61-66        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 49-54 (-8)   93-98        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.12         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     NW  3        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   76-81 (+1)   59-64        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  48-53 (-4)   91-96        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.07         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     SE  3        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

TNZ072-074-161000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   75-80 (+1)   60-65        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+7)   46-51 (-13)  85-90        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.10         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR                            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

TNZ087-102-161000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   79-84 (+2)   62-67        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+6)   48-53 (-17)  88-93        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.09         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     SE  7        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD                            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

NCZ060-061-161000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   79-84 (+3)   61-66        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 46-51 (-19)  87-92        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.11         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SE  8        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD                            
MAX LVORI                          4                                      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   82-87 (+2)   62-67        83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 46-51 (-8)   92-97        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.11         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     NE  3        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO
MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   82-87 (+1)   64-69        84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 47-52 (-12)  90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.07         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     SE  5        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO UPPER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
227 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011 /127 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   83-88 (+3)   65-70        85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+8)   49-54 (-14)  92-97        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.05         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            3            2            N/A          
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      0            
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SE 10        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                                

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO
MID 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE 90S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...

$$

TT

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