
465 
FNUS54 KMRX 080713
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY LATE TODAY 
AND TONIGHT PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME OF 
THE STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE PRODUCING LOCALIZED DAMAGING 
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.  A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO 
THE REGION FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-090815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   62-67 (-2)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   95-100 (+6)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.99         0.28         0.03         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NE 13        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-090815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   62-67 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   95-100 (+6)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.20         0.08         
LAL                   5            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      9000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     N  7         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-090815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    63-68 (+1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   89-94 (+5)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.18         0.08         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     N  3         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-090815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   65-70 (+1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   86-91 (0)    49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.14         0.08         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW  5        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-090815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   64-69 (+1)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   86-91 (0)    49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.17         0.11         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-090815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   64-69 (-1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   94-99 (+5)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.20         0.04         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-090815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    65-70 (-2)   86-91        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   95-100 (+7)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.13         0.03         
LAL                   5            5            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-090815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011 /213 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   67-72 (0)    88-93        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   91-96 (+3)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   5            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N  5         
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

